Daily Fantasy Football Week 17 Advice: Running back values
And as always, we have to point out that articles like this should only be a portion of your daily fantasy research. Good luck finding anything better. With a win, the Saints will capture the NFC South title, and more important, a first-round home playoff game.
The Saints should play their best offensive player, and hopefully his tough Week 16 pushes some of the more casual players off of owning him.
The second back I think you want exposure to this week is McCaffery against the Falcons. I wrote up CMac last week and he flopped, but those ups and downs seem pretty standard for how his rookie season is going so far. But, much like the Saints and Kamara, McCaffrey comes into Week 17 with the Panthers aiming at the NFC South title, against a defense that has traditionally struggled against pass-catching running backs. Build your perfect lineup with RotoQL. Despite playing in a plus matchup, I think Crowder will go underowned because of those low target numbers and also because of the lack of a recent fantasy explosion on his game log.
Playing against a Giants team that has been vulnerable to the big play, I can see Crowder paying off his price with his ability to break loose after the catch. Sure, Shady McCoy could carve this defense up if they don't come to play, but the Jets at least have a coach to play for still. Jimmy Smith might be one of the most valuable players in football, if the way the Ravens have played without him is any indication. The secondary got completely clowned once again last week when the Steelers took to the air late, as this team just can't stop any decent QB without Smith.
Dalton qualifies as decent, so the Bengals should put up some points as long as they don't come out and try to pound Jeremy Hill.
Joe Flacco and the Ravens will respond with points of their own against a below-average D to send this over. There's not much reason for the Giants to take this game seriously at all, while Washington has everything to play for with a playoff berth potentially on the line. Yet, Giants coach Ben McAdoo has made some noise about playing his starters this game.
Pay attention to the beat writer leading up to this one and see if the Giants are bringing the intensity or not. The Jags defense has picked it up and now ranks in the top half of the league. They should be able to do some work here against the Colts, who struggled on offense against the improving Raiders defense. Young stud corner Jalen Ramsey will minimize the impact of TY Hilton, and Blake Bortles and the offense are playing loose on the other side of the ball.
They're pulling out trick plays and finally utilizing Marqise Lee, so we like the Jags to keep this one tight and cover. This game just comes down to the fact that the Cowboys have absolutely nothing to play for.
This team can only risk injury by coming out and playing hard with starters. Further making things tilt in the Eagles' favor is that not even the Cowboys backup QB will be used.
The team already announced Tony Romo will stay sidelined, so it will be a third-stringer out there. The Eagles might not seem to have much reason to go hard, but they still need to give QB Carson Wentz as many reps as possible, so they'll be looking to close the season strong while Dallas rests.
Matt Barkley was looking like an against the spread monster as he led Bears backers to a number of cashed tickets, but the train came off the tracks in a big way last week against Washington with five picks. The interceptions have been a major problem recently as he also threw three the week before that. When it comes to defenses that hawk the ball, the matchups don't come much rougher than the Vikings, with their shutdown corners, elite safety, and aggressive defensive ends.
Expect Barkley to give it away a few more times en route to a Vikings cover. Short of Cam Newton taking a seat this week, this line doesn't make too much sense, especially considering the attrition the Bucs are dealing with on their offense. It's pretty much down to Jameis Winston and Mike Evans, and while that's a solid combination indeed, the Panthers figure to at least keep this close against a Bucs team that might be deflated with playoff hopes all but dead. The Steelers are another team with nothing to gain and everything to lose by playing their starters, especially considering the injuries guys like Ben Roethlisberger and Le'Veon Bell have sustained in the past.
They're expected to rest most of the key players on offense, meaning this should be close to a wash talent-wise with Browns starters facing off against Steelers backups. If anything, the Browns might have the edge. Landry Jones has been really unimpressive when he has filled in for Roethlisberger, and Cody Kessler might be able to get something moving with some decent weapons against the Steelers D.
The highest total we can remember seeing all year is on the board this week with the Saints and Falcons matching up in the dome. There should definitely be some points in this one with high-flying offenses facing less-than-stellar defenses, but all that needs to happen for a total to go under 56 is for teams to settle for a few field goals here and there.
Both teams also figure to mix in solid doses of the run here, and we like under in a game everyone will be firing over. The Patriots need to win to clinch home field advantage, and the Dolphins have some potential seeding at stake here.
Miami is getting zero respect from the books here as double-digit home favorites, and that's a spot that we automatically look for in most cases.