7 Tips for Winning Your Office March Madness Pool

Devote the time to finding the right 12 seed to pick against a 5 seed. The strategy is different if you are competing against thousands of people. Vegas may not help you fill out your entire bracket, but there will be odds listed for every single opening weekend game. But the early missed picks can turn out to be pretty inconsequential if you get the later rounds right. You can use our bracket picks on contest sites like these:

March Madness bracket: An idiot's guide

1. Your Level of Risk Should Be Proportional to Your Bracket Pool

A potential Sweet 16 run-in with Michigan State. Is the FBI cleaning up college basketball, or wasting its time? Inside the most unlikely run in NCAA tournament history. Big 12 basketball is deep, and thinks it should roll deep in the NCAA tournament. Fancy Stats Analysis Analysis Interpretation of the news based on evidence, including data, as well as anticipating how events might unfold based on past events.

The three best bets to win the NCAA tournament. Virginia boasts the highest efficiency margin of any team in the NCAA tournament field. Oversees the Fancy Stats blog as well as esports and gaming coverage.

He also manages coverage of fantasy football, e-sports and gaming, and oversees the Fancy Stats blog with Neil Greenberg. The story must be told. But if you don't want to throw away your cash or lose a bunch of friends , you might want to take these bits of advice to heart.

East South Midwest West. Double-digit seeds are money — until they aren't. Upsets happen, just not late in the tournament when most of the points are at stake. Except for that one time George Mason got to the Final Four The smart play is to predict no chaos after the second weekend. If you're going to pick teams based on uniform color we won't judge , blue is the best choice. There are so many wonderful shades of blue, too. Is that why they're called bluebloods?

Top 16 college basketball programs since Oh, you're a mascot picker, you say. Well, we know "Shockers" will be in this tournament it has to with wheat, not electricity; don't let that stop you. Lowly teams ranked 13, 14, 15 or 16 average between one and two wins a year in the first round, so if you want to take a flyer on one or two of them, feel free. Amazingly, Jacobson does not even care about which particular teams will be stepping onto the basketball court.

All he cares about is seeding, because to a large extent, that one datapoint predicts how a team will fare. Over the last 31 tournaments Jacobson has surveyed, 12s are a respectable , and 11s are , which means you should pick at least a couple of those shockers in the first round.

Many office pools are heavily weighted towards those who pick the ultimate champion, so much so that they are almost impossible to win without doing so. Out of 31 tournaments historically, 19 champs were seeded 1, four were seeded 2, and four were 3.


Watch video · NCAA Tournament: 10 tips to help you win your March Madness office pool You can go with your gut, but don't ignore proven trends and data. Mar 13,  · Watch video · March Madness bracket tip sheet: Your guide to NCAA tournament. A one-stop shop for NCAA tournament with all the analysis and insight you'll need to win your office pool. Watch video · History says the NCAA tournament title will come from a list of 18 teams, but three of those are the safest selections for your bracket pool.