US Open Golf Betting Tips Advised Bets – Pre Tournament – Updates after each round
You've got to really drive the ball well, and if you do that, you can take advantage of the course. I didn't feel like you could really attack this type of golf course.
If you play well and have an opportunity to shoot a low score, if you shoot at the pins on every hole and don't hit good golf shots you're going to pay for it. I've tried to take a little bit more conservative approach and accepted a 10 or 15 foot putt for a birdie as opposed to trying to shoot at pins and land them three or four feet.
The way the greens are and the slopes off the sides of the greens and the pin placements near the edges, if you're off a little bit, you're really going to pay for it and make bogeys. I hit the ball extremely well, hit the ball in the fairway and gave myself a lot of opportunities to putt for birdies. The United States oldest genuine links test. So what are the key factors to watch out for, what trends need to be taken into account and what skill-sets does a US Open Champion have to have in his locker?
This gives us a little more insight into the requirements for this test: In Retief Goosen, who won the previous US Open held here, we have a long and straight driver of the golf ball whose patient approach paid huge dividends. A 4-time top 10 finisher at the Open Championship, Goosen was no stranger to success on links-style golf courses at the highest level and naturally had also won the United States Open Championship 3 years earlier at Southern Hills. His victory was sealed by a combination of excellent driving - he ranked 3rd for Total Driving - and top-notch ball-striking where he topped the field.
Naturally we can't base all of our assessments on with a course that has changed significantly. Find a patient sort who can also scramble and you won't be far wrong. Another potential angle from was the make-up of the first 3 players home.
All experienced, with 34 Major top 10 performances between them. Major Championship Experience Counted Hugely at the Phil Mickelson had accumulated 18 Major top finishes prior to finishing runner-up at Shinnecock Hills, including The Masters title 2 months prior: Jeff Maggert had accumulated 10 Major top finishes prior to finishing in third place at Shinnecock Hills including 5 US Open top 9 finishes: It's worth taking a look at courses where Retief Goosen has played well at in the past to get a view on correlating form that we can transfer to the field.
I have focussed mainly on the PGA Tour, but have also highlighted one of his European Tour victories which transfers nicely when it comes to links golf course upside: In this day and age of abundant golf statistics, it's interesting to look at what inbound player skill strengths, if any, are particularly shared by US Open winners.
Naturally this can't be an exact science as the US Open moves from course to course, with venues changing in terms of key requirements required by the eventual winner. However there are undoubtedly patterns which are not exact, but definitely highlight trends. For instance 9 of the last 11 winners of the US Open ranked in the top 13 in the All-Round skill category in their last appearance.
That becomes 8 out of 11 if you raise the requirement to top 10 All-Round as Brooks Koepka in ranked 13th for All-Round the week before at St Jude. We did say this is not an exact science, but there are definite trends which help to highlight players who are strong in key US Open areas. It's fact that no recent US Open winner has been outside the top 18 for Greens in Regulation in the week they won. Naturally hitting your irons and approaches well is a huge upside.
But if we're looking for strong skill-sets in a winner's previous appearance, we actually need to look for top-level driving. For Martin Kaymer that happened to be at Wentworth, so he has to be excluded from the next Strokes Gained stat angle, but that Total Driving number also translates very well to Strokes Gained Off the Tee. Koepka 2nd , Johnson 4th , Spieth 5th and Rose 13th clearly had real confidence with the driver when they arrived at Erin Hills, Oakmont, Chambers Bay and Merion respectively.
If the European Tour had a consistent Strokes Gained Stat back in , Kaymer would have been very close to the top of it at Wentworth. One of the very longest from off the tee, his outstanding wind play, accurate wedge game and top-class short game always make him a favourite when conditions get technical like at the Honda Classic which he won earlier this year. However fact is a player going into the US Open as the World Number 1 ranked player has only won the title once in the last 13 attempts and that was Tiger Woods, who had won at Torrey Pines 6 times prior to his US Open victory: US Open Tips - Key Points So what are the key factors to watch out for, what trends need to be taken into account and what skill-sets does a US Open Champion have to have in his locker?
Major Top 10 Record: Correlating Course Form It's worth taking a look at courses where Retief Goosen has played well at in the past to get a view on correlating form that we can transfer to the field. East Lake CC - Doha Golf Club - Augusta - 2nd , 3rd , 3rd , 2nd - Phil Mickelson is a 3-time Masters winner. He must have nightmares about that one, occupying pole position following birdies at 15 and 16 on the Sunday before three-putting from five feet for double-bogey at 17 and losing by two to Retief Goosen.
They were the only two players to finish under par and the average fourth-round score was Mickelson on the 17th during the final round at Shinnecock Hills in - it didn't end well. We're 14 years down the line and the course has been stretched almost yards to 7, but there's a case to be made for Mickelson. He's been back in the winner's enclosure at the WGC-Mexico, has five top-six finishes in and finished just outside the top 10 in Memphis at the weekend after opening with a 66 and closing with a 65 having played himself out of contention with a 73 on Saturday.
Although from California, he's a popular player on the east coast and will be a fan favourite on the far end of Long Island. But are there better? At a track like Shinnecock, a proper US Open test, the cream should rise to the top.
DJ hasn't quite been at the same level as he was between Oakmont and August the following year when he was winning for fun but, after recovering from injury he kicked off with a victory and may have timed this run to perfection with a dominant display to claim the St Jude Classic and take back the world No 1 spot.
Like Mickelson, Johnson will love the linksy feel of Shinnecock Hills. The man he replaced at the top of the world rankings, Justin Thomas, will be keeping him company for the first two rounds with Tiger Woods making up one of several showbiz threeballs.
Thomas and Rickie Fowler shot 65s at Shinnecock last year, when it was set up for fun, not a US Open he was quick to point out, and Justin certainly has the iron play to get at the smallish greens. He's made more than a few waves since returning from the successful fusion surgery on his back but his driving there were familiar struggles earlier in the year will need to keep improving for him to have any chance of winning a 15th major 10 years after No It is a decade since Tiger Woods last got his hands on one of the games biggest prizes.
His last outing was a T23 at the Memorial which would've been much better if his putter had been working but he said afterwards he was happy with where his game was in his build-up to this one.
Defending champion Brooks Koepka is around the same price and getting back in the groove having taken a couple of events to shake off the rust after recovering from a wrist injury. And Justin Rose will have plenty of backers too as a run of 20 tournaments since missing the cut at last year's USPGA has brought him four wins, 15 top 10s and 10 consecutive top 10s. There was a time, to be precise, when he hated this track but now he feels as happy with his ball-striking as he did five years ago - when he won at Merion.
He's without a win since this event four years ago but posted his first top of the year at the Italian Open having held the lead at one point. No comments have so far been submitted. Why not be the first to send us your thoughts, or debate this issue live on our message boards.
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