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His shot rate is terrible, but what is better- he isnt even forcing shots, and he is rather passing the ball. Last time he played against Wall, Wall was talking a lot about Ball- how he is going to welcome him to the league on both sides of the floor, and he was kinda succesfull there- Lonzo finished the game with only 6 points while playing 40 minutes which is much more than his average of 33min he has this season. Wizards are huge favorites tonight so there is possible BO.
Also, playing infront of away fans which probably kinda hate you everyone hates Ball senior, so I expect some booos when Lonzo takes shots and leads offense. OKC is going on away game against Denver. Denver is known for fast game without proper defense they slowed down a little bit this season so we should see around points on this game. What is the main reason for picking Melo is that Denver is his ex-team. He spent his best playing days there, so I think he will have that extra motive tonight.
Also, I dont expect a BO here, this should be a close game so that is a great plus too. Rotowire predicts Anthony on 21 points. Pelicans play really bad defense on perimeter and DeRozan is player that feeds on this type of teams. Pelicans have their rim protected well with Cousins and Davis being in the racket, which should mean less balls for Valanciunas and Ibaka- there really isnt a reason why they should force their shots when they are in worse position, so Derozan and Lowry should get more balls tonight.
Lowry is playing bad offensivly, he is on average of 12,4 points only, so I think DeRozan should take most of the shots tonight. He takes ona verage almost 20 shots, and he exploits big number of FTs- on average he gets 9 of those per game, and scores 7,3. Can't say this will be a fast game, but it wont be slow either- bookies rpedict around points here which should be enough for over on DeRozan.
Few other things worth pointing out- other bookies are keeping him on higher margins, rotowire predicts 26 points and on last 10 games this season he has only 2 unders on this margin kinda BOs. They play really slow basketball- slowest in the league with only 97 possessions per game for comparation, Phila plays with Because of this bookies dont predict too many points on this game- just What is also very important is that Embiid is coming back after being rested- and he has highest usage rate in Phila one of the highest in the league so automatically, all other players should get lower usage rate tonight, including Covington.
Simmons is also taking many balls each game and is on PG now, so that Saric could play on forward position- and well, Saric is also playing better: I was choosing between this bet and Saric over, lets hope I didnt choosed the wrong one. Covington is a good defensive player- which obviusly also means he is very active in defense, which sometiems gets him in trouble- he is averaging 4 fouls per game so that might help us too. Rotowire rpedicts him at 13 points. Problem with him would be his 3s- if he scores first few, then we cant do anything about it.
We all know that Houston isnt playing goof defense while at same time playing really fast and Cavs are playing bad defense too, so it is logical to expect many points tonight- bookies predict around In offense, because Rose is OUT, James will be taking even more balls, and if this game is close- he will play around 40 minutes maybe even more if needed. The broadcast will begin approximately 5 seconds before the race is scheduled to start and will last for about minutes.
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